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Analysis: Poll predicts hung parliament – but it will all come down to campaign tactics
Tonight we publish a poll from new kids on the psephological block, Focaldata. It is a big sample and they’ve rammed in extra data in their own version of the (MRP – multilevel regression with poststratification) approach which helped YouGov and The Times to glory in 2017, predicting the hung parliament Theresa May got when all…